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EQTNatural gas production & midstream

EQT

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$52.69
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 27 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$33B
Shares of Oct 20, 2026
Yield at current rate
1.3%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
12.5
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$4.22
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$47.94 – $68.24
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.67
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
8.0M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices EQT for low natural gas prices in Appalachia, and new LNG and power plant demand, MVP Southgate in service and a smooth Range merger can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Gap
Can close. The start of MVP Southgate, the full-year 2026 report with the 2027 guidance and the close of the Range merger in early 2027 show whether prices, cash flow and the merger plan hold.

Company guidance: Sales volume of 2,375 to 2,450 Bcfe and maintenance capex of $2,020 to $2,100 million for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

EQT is a large producer of natural gas in the United States. It produces gas and natural gas liquids from the Marcellus and Utica shales in Appalachia, mainly in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio. Since it bought Equitrans Midstream in 2024, it also owns gathering, transmission and storage pipelines. In January 2026, it used an option to raise its interest in the Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP Mainline) to about 53%.

It sold 583 Bcfe of gas and liquids in Q3 2026, after it cut some output when prices were low. In October 2026, it agreed to buy Range Resources, another Appalachian gas producer, for stock. Its results move mainly with the price of natural gas and with the local Appalachian price (basis), which is usually lower than the national Henry Hub price. EQT also signs long-term supply deals with power plants and LNG buyers.

Thesis

The market prices EQT for low natural gas prices and a wide gap between local Appalachian prices and national prices. EQT's average realized price was $5.08 per Mcfe in Q1 2026, when a cold winter lifted prices, but only $2.65 in Q2 and $2.72 in Q3. In Q3 2026, EQT cut 21 Bcfe of output when prices were low, and free cash flow attributable to EQT was $283 million. In October 2026, EQT agreed to buy Range Resources for stock, which adds a new test.

For the gap to close, four things must be true. Natural gas prices must recover as new LNG export plants and new power plants increase demand. EQT must finish MVP Southgate by the end of 2026 and start its supply deals with power plants and LNG buyers, such as the CPV Shay Energy Center and Ignitis Group. EQT must keep its operating costs near $1.05 to $1.20 per Mcfe and bring debt to its $5 billion target.

The Range merger must close in Q1 2027 and give the $325 million of yearly synergies that EQT expects within two years. The full-year 2026 report and the 2027 guidance in early 2027 show the production and cost plan for the next year. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a long period of low gas prices, which EQT cannot control.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 27, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: prices and free cash flowSales volume within the 570 to 620 Bcfe guidance, a price differential near the $(0.75) to $(0.65) guidance and positive free cash flow pass; a wider differential or more output cuts fail.Outcome: Sales volume of 583 Bcfe was within guidance, the differential of $(0.64) was better than guidance and free cash flow attributable to EQT was $283 million, with 21 Bcfe of output cut on purpose.
  2. Dec 2026 · est.Pending
    MVP Southgate in serviceMVP Southgate finishes construction by the end of 2026, as EQT expects, passes; a delay into late 2027 or later fails.
  3. Jan 27, 2027 · est.Pending
    Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 guidance with operating costs near those of 2026 and debt at or below the $5 billion target passes; higher costs or higher debt fail.
  4. Q1 2027 · est.Pending
    Range merger closesThe Range merger closes in Q1 2027, as EQT expects, with the 0.987 exchange ratio unchanged, passes; a block by regulators or shareholders, or a long delay, fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 27, 2026EQT reported Q3 2026 results. Sales volume was 583 Bcfe, including 21 Bcfe of output that EQT cut on purpose when prices were low. The average realized price was $2.72 per Mcfe, and net income attributable to EQT was $279 million. Capital spending was $638 million, 10% below the low end of guidance. Free cash flow attributable to EQT was $283 million. EQT also signed a 10-year LNG sales agreement with Ignitis Group of Lithuania and started an open season for its new POWER Pipeline from Pennsylvania to the Clarington hub in Ohio.
  • October 26, 2026EQT agreed to buy Range Resources for stock. Each Range share will get 0.987 EQT shares, and EQT shareholders will own about 73% of the combined company. EQT expects $325 million of yearly synergies within two years. The deal needs the approval of the shareholders of both companies and of regulators, and the companies expect it to close in Q1 2027.
  • October 13, 2026EQT said that it expects a total gain on derivatives of $100 million for Q3 2026, and net cash settlements received on derivatives of $70 million.
Show 4 older events
  • October 7, 2026EQT started a commercial paper program of up to $3.5 billion for general corporate purposes. Its revolving credit facility serves as a backstop for the program. EQT had not issued any notes under it on that day. EQT also said that it will report Q3 2026 results after the market closes on October 27, 2026.
  • July 21, 2026EQT reported Q2 2026 results. Sales volume was 634 Bcfe, above guidance. The average realized price was $2.65 per Mcfe, and net income attributable to EQT was $211 million. Free cash flow attributable to EQT was $330 million. EQT raised its 2026 production guidance by about 90 Bcfe and lowered its capital spending guidance by $25 million. It signed a 10-year deal to supply 325,000 Dth per day of gas to the CPV Shay Energy Center in West Virginia at prices linked to PJM power prices.
  • April 21, 2026EQT reported Q1 2026 results. Its average realized price was $5.08 per Mcfe, and it generated record free cash flow attributable to EQT of $1,832 million. Total debt fell to $6.0 billion. Fitch raised EQT's rating to BBB.
  • March 24, 2026EQT raised its tender offer for senior notes due 2027 to 2031 to a purchase price of up to $1.4 billion, after holders tendered more notes than the first cap allowed.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 27, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 33213)

Risks

  • Results depend on the price of natural gas and on the local Appalachian price. The average realized price fell from $5.08 per Mcfe in Q1 2026 to $2.65 in Q2 2026 and was $2.72 in Q3 2026. A long period of low prices reduces cash flow quickly.
  • Pipeline capacity out of Appalachia is limited. If new pipelines such as MVP Southgate are late, or local demand grows slower than supply, the local price differential can widen further.
  • Much of the expected growth in demand comes from new gas power plants, data centers and LNG export plants. If these projects are delayed or cancelled, demand for EQT's gas grows less than expected.
  • The Range merger needs the approval of shareholders and regulators. EQT pays with new shares, so Range shareholders will own about 27% of the combined company. If the deal is late, or if the expected synergies do not come, the new shares lower the value for EQT shareholders.
  • Gas production and pipelines need state and federal permits. Changes in environmental rules or legal challenges to pipelines can delay projects and add costs.

Balance sheet

Cash
$79M
Debt
$5.6B
Net debt
$5.5B

Cash against debt

Cash$79M
Debt$5.6B

debt covered by cashnet debt $5.5B

When the debt is due

12 months$0.0M
Later$5.6B

The last debt is due in 2048.

Credit ratings

  • Moody's Baa3 · positive
  • S&P BBB- · stable
  • Fitch BBB · stable

EQT funds itself mainly with senior notes, and it has a $3.5 billion revolving credit facility, of which $63 million was drawn at September 30, 2026. Total liquidity, without the separate facility of its Eureka Midstream subsidiary, was about $3.5 billion.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
1.3% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
1.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $52.69)
Paid per share
$0.665 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$0.68 ($0.17 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
19% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
November 4, 2026, $0.17 per share

Dividends per share by year

EQT dividends per share by year
2016
$0.0653
2017
$0.0653
2018
$0.079
2019
$0.12
2020
$0.03
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.55
2023
$0.608
2024
$0.632
2025
$0.639

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 84.4% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 25.6% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about EQT

What does EQT do?

EQT is a large producer of natural gas in the United States. It produces gas and natural gas liquids from the Marcellus and Utica shales in Appalachia, mainly in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio. Its market cap is $33B at the current price of $52.69.

When does EQT report earnings next?

This is an estimate: EQT may report on January 27, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is EQT stock below its intrinsic value?

EQT stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at EQT?

The latest update is from October 27, 2026. EQT reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for EQT?

Results depend on the price of natural gas and on the local Appalachian price. Pipeline capacity out of Appalachia is limited. Much of the expected growth in demand comes from new gas power plants, data centers and LNG export plants.

How much debt and cash does EQT have?

At September 30, 2026, EQT had $5.6B of debt and $79M of cash.

Does EQT pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of EQT is $0.68 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.3% at the current price of $52.69. In the last 12 months, it paid $0.665 per share (1.3%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 4, 2026.

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