CVSHealth care services & pharmacy
CVS Health
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $89.52
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 4 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $115B
- Shares of Oct 28, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.0%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.0%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 10.4
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $8.61
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $69.51 – $110.68
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.58
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 9.0M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market fears that medical costs and pressure on pharmacy benefits will cut CVS's profits again, and steady Aetna margins with lower debt over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The 2027 guidance in early 2027 and the separation plan to the first half of 2028 show whether Aetna's margin recovery continues and both new companies keep strong balance sheets.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of at least $8.20 and cash flow from operations of at least $15.5 billion for full-year 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
CVS Health has three segments. Health Care Benefits runs Aetna, which sells medical, pharmacy, dental and behavioral health plans, including government plans. Health Services runs the CVS Caremark pharmacy benefit manager and health care delivery services. Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness runs CVS Pharmacy retail stores and infusion services.
Total revenues were $108.4 billion in Q3 2026, and Aetna had 26.1 million medical members at September 30, 2026. CVS left the individual exchange business in 2026. David Joyner is Chairman and CEO. On November 4, 2026, CVS said it plans to separate into two public companies in the first half of 2028: a healthcare solutions company with Aetna, CVS Caremark, CVS Specialty, Oak Street Health and Signify Health, and CVS Pharmacy with about 9,000 retail pharmacies.
Thesis
The market prices CVS for the risk that medical costs and pressure on pharmacy benefits cut its profits again. In Q2 2025, Aetna recorded a $471 million premium deficiency reserve for Group Medicare Advantage, and CVS still warns of elevated cost trends. Caremark keeps giving price improvements to clients, and CVS has an accrual of about $3.4 billion for opioid litigation. In 2026 the recovery plan is working: the medical benefit ratio fell to 91.3% in Q3 2026 from 92.8% a year earlier, and on November 4, 2026 CVS raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $8.20.
On the same day, CVS said it plans to separate its retail pharmacy business from Aetna and Caremark in the first half of 2028. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Aetna's margins must keep recovering in 2027, which depends on Medicare Advantage rates and medical cost trends. Caremark must keep its profit as client pricing improves.
Debt must keep falling from $60.7 billion at September 30, 2026, and the separation must leave both companies with the solid investment grade ratings that CVS expects. The 2027 guidance, expected with the Q4 2026 report in early February 2027, is the next test, and the details of the separation come over 2027. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a new rise in medical costs, which CVS cannot fully price for in the short term.
Checkpoints
- Nov 4, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: medical costsA stable medical benefit ratio and 2026 adjusted EPS guidance kept or raised pass; a higher medical benefit ratio or a guidance cut fail.Outcome: The medical benefit ratio fell to 91.3% from 92.8% a year earlier, and CVS raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $8.20 from $7.90 to $8.10.
- Feb 4, 2027 · est.Pending2027 guidance2027 guidance for higher adjusted EPS and continued Aetna margin recovery pass; guidance for lower earnings fails.
- Q2 2028 · est.PendingSeparation of CVS PharmacyA tax-free separation in the first half of 2028 with a solid investment grade rating for both companies passes; a delay, a taxable deal or a rating below investment grade fails.
Recent events
- November 4, 2026CVS said that it plans to separate into two public companies, in a separation that it intends to be tax-free and expects to complete in the first half of 2028. The healthcare solutions company keeps Aetna, CVS Caremark, CVS Specialty, Oak Street Health and Signify Health, with David Joyner as Chairman and CEO. CVS Pharmacy gets about 9,000 pharmacies, mail pharmacy, MinuteClinic and Health100, with Prem Shah as CEO. CVS expects both companies to have a solid investment grade rating.
- November 4, 2026CVS reported Q3 2026 results. Total revenues rose 5.4% to $108.4 billion, and adjusted EPS rose to $2.09 from $1.60. The Aetna medical benefit ratio fell to 91.3% from 92.8%. CVS raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $8.20 from $7.90 to $8.10 and its cash flow from operations guidance to at least $15.5 billion from at least $11.5 billion.
- October 8, 2026Aetna said that more than 69% of its Medicare Advantage members are in plans with a rating of 4 stars or higher for 2027. For 2026, the figure was more than 81%. The star ratings set the quality bonus payments that Aetna receives in 2028.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- August 17, 2026CVS said that Larry Robbins resigned from its board on August 13, 2026, with no disagreement with the company. The board appointed Teresa Heitsenrether, Chief Data & Analytics Officer of JPMorgan Chase, as a director effective November 18, 2026.
- August 5, 2026CVS reported Q2 2026 results. Total revenues rose 7.3% to $106.1 billion, and adjusted EPS rose to $2.58 from $1.81. The Aetna medical benefit ratio fell to 87.4% from 89.9%. CVS raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $7.90 to $8.10 and its cash flow from operations guidance.
- May 6, 2026CVS reported Q1 2026 results. Total revenues were $100.4 billion, and adjusted EPS was $2.57, up from $2.25. It raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $7.30 to $7.50.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 4, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 4, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · cvs-20260930
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · cvs-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · cvs-20260514
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · cvs-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · cvs-20260318
Risks
- Aetna's profit depends on medical costs staying within what it priced. CVS warns of continued elevated cost trends. A new rise in costs, as in 2025, lowers earnings quickly.
- Caremark keeps giving pricing improvements to clients, and laws or rules on pharmacy benefit managers can change how they earn money. These changes can lower Health Services profit.
- CVS had a remaining accrual of about $3.4 billion for opioid litigation at September 30, 2026. In October 2026, it paid $315 million, which it had accrued, to settle a federal case about opioid and other controlled substance prescriptions. Some states and private plaintiffs are not part of the settlement, and the final cost may be higher.
- Fewer Aetna Medicare Advantage members are in plans with 4 stars or higher for 2027: more than 69%, down from more than 81% for 2026. Lower ratings reduce the quality bonus payments in 2028, and Aetna must improve its ratings to get them back.
- Total debt was $60.7 billion at September 30, 2026. Large debt limits buybacks and investment until it falls further.
- CVS plans to separate its retail pharmacy business in the first half of 2028. The separation needs final board approval, an SEC registration and confirmation that it is tax-free. It will cost money and management time, and the split of the debt between the two companies is not yet known.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $11.7B
- Debt
- $60.7B
- Net debt
- $48.9B
- Interest cover
- 5.7×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $7.5B
- undrawn, to May 2029
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $48.9B
When the debt is due
CVS funds itself mainly with long-term senior notes. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt was $57.22 billion and the current portion was $3.46 billion, for total debt of $60.68 billion, down from $64.57 billion at December 31, 2025. There was no commercial paper outstanding, and the three $2.5 billion back-up credit facilities, which expire in May 2029, 2030 and 2031, were undrawn. Cash and cash equivalents were $11.74 billion, up from $8.45 billion, and about $5.9 billion of it was held by the parent company or nonrestricted subsidiaries. Interest cover is operating income of $12.95 billion divided by interest expense of $2.28 billion for the first nine months of 2026. Cash flow from operations was $15.3 billion in the first nine months of 2026, and CVS raised its 2026 guidance to at least $15.5 billion on November 4, 2026. The remaining accrual for opioid litigation was about $3.4 billion at September 30, 2026. CVS expects both companies after the planned separation in 2028 to have a solid investment grade rating.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $89.52)
- Paid per share
- $2.66 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.66 ($0.665 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 191% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 22, 2026, $0.665 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.70 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.00 | |
| 2018 | $2.00 | |
| 2019 | $2.00 | |
| 2020 | $2.00 | |
| 2021 | $2.00 | |
| 2022 | $2.20 | |
| 2023 | $2.42 | |
| 2024 | $2.66 | |
| 2025 | $2.66 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.6% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about CVS Health
What does CVS Health do?
CVS Health has three segments. Health Care Benefits runs Aetna, which sells medical, pharmacy, dental and behavioral health plans, including government plans. Its market cap is $115B at the current price of $89.52.
When does CVS Health report earnings next?
This is an estimate: CVS Health may report on February 4, 2027. It last reported results on November 4, 2026.
Is CVS Health stock below its intrinsic value?
CVS Health stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at CVS Health?
The latest update is from November 4, 2026. CVS said that it plans to separate into two public companies, in a separation that it intends to be tax-free and expects to complete in the first half of 2028.
What are the main risks for CVS Health?
Aetna's profit depends on medical costs staying within what it priced. Caremark keeps giving pricing improvements to clients, and laws or rules on pharmacy benefit managers can change how they earn money. CVS had a remaining accrual of about $3.4 billion for opioid litigation at September 30, 2026.
How much debt and cash does CVS Health have?
At September 30, 2026, CVS Health had $60.7B of debt and $11.7B of cash.
Does CVS Health pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of CVS Health is $2.66 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.0% at the current price of $89.52. The latest ex-dividend date was October 22, 2026.
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