APOAlternative asset management & retirement services
Apollo Global Management
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $122.95
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 3 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $73B
- Shares of Nov 3, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.8%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.7%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- -$1.79
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $99.56 – $153.29
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.51
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.3M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market fears losses and withdrawals in private credit and a squeeze on Athene's spread, and steady fee growth with stable spread earnings over the next four quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The full-year 2026 report in early 2027 and the next quarters show whether fee earnings keep growing, whether Athene's spread holds and whether private credit losses and redemptions stay small.
Price history
About
Apollo is a large alternative asset manager. It has three segments. Asset Management raises and manages credit and equity funds for pension funds, insurers, sovereign wealth funds and individual investors, and it earns fees. Retirement Services is Athene, which sells annuities and other retirement products and invests the money, mostly in investment grade credit, to earn a spread.
Principal Investing holds the realized performance fees and Apollo's own investments. Apollo had about $1.07 trillion of assets under management at September 30, 2026. In September 2025, Apollo bought Bridge Investment Group, a real estate manager, for stock. Apollo measures its results with fee related earnings (FRE), spread related earnings (SRE) and adjusted net income.
Thesis
The market fears that private credit will have more losses and more withdrawals, and that Athene's spread will become smaller. Apollo is one of the largest managers of private credit, and Athene holds much of it. In its Q2 2026 report, Apollo said that redemption requests increased across the industry in perpetual non-traded business development companies, which slows the growth of these products. Total AUM had $7.3 billion of redemptions in Q2 2026, compared with $1.4 billion a year earlier, and $3.0 billion in Q3 2026.
At Athene, the cost of funds rises faster than investment income. Net spread fell to 1.06% in Q3 2026 from 1.24% a year earlier, and SRE fell 3% to $844 million. Higher interest rates also caused unrealized losses on Athene's investments and a GAAP net loss of $1.06 billion in Q3 2026. For the gap to close, three things must be true.
FRE must keep growing near the 23% rate of Q3 2026, from new inflows and the Bridge and Athora fees. SRE must stay stable or grow as Athene adds new annuity business. Credit losses in Apollo's funds and in Athene's portfolio must stay small. The full-year 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, gives the next test.
If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a credit cycle that causes losses in private credit, because that hurts both the fees and Athene's capital.
Checkpoints
- Nov 3, 2026FailedQ3 2026 earnings: fees and spreadFRE growth near 20% or more from a year earlier, SRE at or above the $877 million of Q2 and no large credit losses pass; falling SRE, large redemptions or credit write-downs fail.Outcome: FRE grew 23% and redemptions fell to $3.0 billion, but SRE fell to $844 million from $877 million in Q2 after a $65 million actuarial charge, so the SRE condition missed.
- Feb 3, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 report and 2027 targetsRecord FRE for 2026, stable Athene capital ratios and targets for 2027 that keep the growth plan pass; lower targets or a rise in credit losses fail.
Recent events
- November 9, 2026Apollo priced $600 million of 7.550% fixed-rate resettable junior subordinated notes due 2056. It will use the money for general purposes, which include the investment in Mubadala Capital.
- November 3, 2026Apollo reported Q3 2026 results. FRE was a record $802 million, up 23% from a year earlier. SRE was $844 million, down 3%, after a $65 million charge from Athene's yearly review of actuarial assumptions; without it, SRE was a record $909 million, up 7%. Adjusted net income was $1.29 billion, or $2.07 per share. Apollo had a GAAP net loss of $1.06 billion, mainly because higher interest rates caused unrealized losses on investments at Athene. Inflows were $53 billion, origination was a record $114 billion and AUM was about $1.07 trillion. Apollo declared a dividend of $0.5625 per share.
- October 26, 2026Apollo agreed to make a $1.25 billion equity investment in Mubadala Capital, the alternative asset management arm of Mubadala Investment Company. Apollo expects the deal to close in Q4 2026, after regulatory approvals, and will pay in 2026 and 2027.
Show 5 older eventsHide older events
- October 5, 2026Apollo estimated alternative net investment income of about $375 million before tax for Q3 2026, an annualized return of about 10%. It said it will publish its Q3 2026 results on November 3, 2026.
- August 7, 2026Athene issued $1.0 billion of 6.150% senior notes due 2036.
- August 4, 2026Apollo reported Q2 2026 results. FRE was a record $785 million, up 25% from a year earlier. SRE was $877 million, up 7%. Adjusted net income was $1.31 billion and GAAP net income attributable to Apollo was $1.34 billion. Inflows were $59.7 billion in the quarter. Apollo declared a dividend of $0.5625 per share.
- July 31, 2026All remaining shares of Apollo's 6.75% Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock converted into common stock. The preferred stock had a liquidation preference of about $1.4 billion.
- May 6, 2026Apollo reported Q1 2026 results with a GAAP net loss. In the quarter, it recorded a full valuation allowance of $1.7 billion against its Bermuda deferred tax assets, because it no longer expects Athene to pay Bermuda corporate income tax that these assets could reduce. The charge did not change adjusted net income.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 3, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · apo-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · apo-20261030
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · apo-20260921
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · apo-20260824
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · apo-20260813
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · apo-20260811
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · apo-20260630
Risks
- Apollo and Athene hold large amounts of private credit. A recession or a rise in defaults can cause losses in the funds, lower performance fees and reduce Athene's capital. Private credit assets are also harder to value than traded bonds.
- Redemption requests increased across the industry in perpetual non-traded business development companies in 2026. Apollo's total AUM had $15.7 billion of redemptions in the 12 months to September 30, 2026, of which $3.0 billion came in Q3 2026. More withdrawals can slow the growth of fee paying AUM.
- Athene earns a spread between its investment income and its cost of funds. In the first nine months of 2026, the cost of funds grew 22% while fixed income and other net investment income grew 17%, and net spread fell to 1.06% in Q3 2026 from 1.24% a year earlier. Lower interest rates, more competition for annuities or more surrenders can reduce SRE.
- Higher interest rates lower the market value of Athene's bonds. In Q3 2026, unrealized losses caused a GAAP net loss of $1.06 billion. Apollo's stockholders' equity fell to $15.9 billion at September 30, 2026 from $23.3 billion at December 31, 2025, and its accumulated other comprehensive loss grew to $7.0 billion from $2.6 billion.
- Athene is a regulated insurer in the United States and Bermuda. Changes in capital rules or tax rules can reduce its returns. In Q1 2026, a Bermuda tax change caused a $1.7 billion charge.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $4.0B
- Debt
- $5.9B
- Net debt
- $1.9B
- Credit line
- $1.3B
- undrawn, to November 2029
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $1.9B
Credit ratings
- Moody's A2
- S&P A
- Fitch A
Apollo reports two businesses with separate balance sheets. The figures show only the asset management business. At September 30, 2026, it had $4.0 billion of unrestricted cash and $5.9 billion of debt, with notes that mature from 2027 to 2054 and some nonrecourse debt. Nothing was drawn on the $1.25 billion AGM credit facility, which matures on November 21, 2029, at June 30, 2026, the date of the latest 10-Q. In 2026, AGM issued $750 million of 5.700% notes due 2036 and repaid $500 million of 4.40% notes due 2026. In Q3 2026, Apollo used $143 million for share buybacks. Athene, the retirement business, had its own debt of $8.8 billion at September 30, 2026, up from $7.8 billion at December 31, 2025, after it issued $1.0 billion of notes due 2036 in August 2026. Athene also had a $2.6 billion liquidity facility, with nothing drawn at June 30, 2026. Higher interest rates caused unrealized losses on Athene's bonds. The accumulated other comprehensive loss grew to $7.0 billion at September 30, 2026 from $2.6 billion at December 31, 2025, and Apollo's stockholders' equity fell to $15.9 billion from $23.3 billion. Athene's investments and insurance liabilities are much larger than this debt, so its capital ratios matter more than its debt. The ratings are those of Apollo Global Management in the Q3 2026 results.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.8% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $122.95)
- Paid per share
- $2.146 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.252 ($0.563 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 36% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 19, 2026, $0.563 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.25 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.85 | |
| 2018 | $1.93 | |
| 2019 | $2.02 | |
| 2020 | $2.31 | |
| 2021 | $2.10 | |
| 2022 | $1.60 | |
| 2023 | $1.69 | |
| 2024 | $1.819 | |
| 2025 | $1.993 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 2.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.1% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Apollo Global Management
What does Apollo Global Management do?
Apollo is a large alternative asset manager. It has three segments. Its market cap is $73B at the current price of $122.95.
When does Apollo Global Management report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Apollo Global Management may report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on November 3, 2026.
Is Apollo Global Management stock below its intrinsic value?
Apollo Global Management stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Apollo Global Management?
The latest update is from November 9, 2026. Apollo priced $600 million of 7.550% fixed-rate resettable junior subordinated notes due 2056.
What are the main risks for Apollo Global Management?
Apollo and Athene hold large amounts of private credit. Redemption requests increased across the industry in perpetual non-traded business development companies in 2026. Athene earns a spread between its investment income and its cost of funds.
How much debt and cash does Apollo Global Management have?
At September 30, 2026, Apollo Global Management had $5.9B of debt and $4.0B of cash.
Does Apollo Global Management pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Apollo Global Management is $2.252 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.8% at the current price of $122.95. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.146 per share (1.7%). The latest ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026.
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