ALLYAuto finance & digital bank
Ally Financial
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $38.27
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 20 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $11B
- Shares of Oct 29, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.7%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 8.8
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $4.37
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $35.92 – $47.29
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.16
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.8M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Ally for the risk of higher auto loan losses and its modest capital, and stable credit with rising returns over three to five quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q3 2026 report on October 20, 2026 and the 2027 outlook in January 2027 show whether auto loan losses stay within guidance.
Company guidance: Net interest margin (ex. OID) of 3.60% - 3.65% and retail auto net charge-offs of 1.8% - 2.0% for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings presentation (8-K))
Price history
About
Ally Financial is a US financial holding company with $200 billion in assets and 9.6 million customers at June 30, 2026. Ally Bank is the largest all-digital bank in the United States, and it funds most of the company with retail deposits of $143.6 billion. Ally's largest business is Dealer Financial Services: it makes auto loans and leases to consumers through car dealers, lends to dealers for their inventory and sells insurance products through dealers.
It also has a Corporate Finance business that lends to middle-market companies, and it offers investing through Ally Invest. Most of its income is the interest margin between its loans and its deposits, so credit losses on auto loans and deposit costs drive its results.
Thesis
The market prices Ally for the risk of higher credit losses on auto loans and for its modest capital. Auto loans are most of its assets. If unemployment rises or used car prices fall, loan losses can rise quickly. Ally's CET1 ratio was 10.2% at September 30, 2026, which leaves less room for buybacks than at larger banks, and its debt ratings are at the lowest investment grade level.
Its margin also depends on interest rates and deposit costs. Recent results improved: in Q3 2026, adjusted EPS rose 16% to $1.34, core ROTCE rose to 13.1% and the retail auto net charge-off rate was 1.89%. For the gap to close, three things must be true. The retail auto net charge-off rate must stay within the 2026 guidance of 1.8% to 2.0%.
The net interest margin, excluding OID, must stay within the 3.60% to 3.65% guidance. Core ROTCE must keep rising, so that capital grows and buybacks can increase. The Q4 report and the 2027 outlook in January 2027 are the next and main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters.
The main reason it may not close is a weaker job market, which would raise auto loan losses.
Checkpoints
- Oct 20, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: auto credit and marginA retail auto net charge-off rate within the 1.8% to 2.0% guidance and a net interest margin excluding OID of 3.60% or more pass; higher losses or a lower margin fail.Outcome: The retail auto net charge-off rate was 1.89% and the net interest margin excluding OID was 3.66%, and Ally kept its loss guidance.
- Jan 20, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and the 2027 outlookA 2027 outlook with higher returns and stable auto loan losses passes; guidance for higher losses or a lower margin fails.
Recent events
- October 20, 2026Ally reported Q3 2026 results. GAAP EPS was $1.30 and adjusted EPS was $1.34, up 16%. Core ROTCE was 13.1% and the net interest margin excluding OID was 3.66%. Consumer auto originations were $12.9 billion from a record 4.8 million applications. The retail auto net charge-off rate was 1.89%, and retail auto loans 30 or more days past due were 4.96%. Ally bought back $178 million of shares, completed a $6 billion auto credit risk transfer and raised its quarterly dividend to $0.35 from $0.30. It narrowed its 2026 margin guidance to 3.60% to 3.65%.
- October 5, 2026The board amended and restated Ally's bylaws. The changes update the advance notice rules, the voting standards and the rules on board size, and align other rules with Delaware law.
- September 16, 2026Ally issued $750 million of 5.525% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2030.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 21, 2026Ally reported Q2 2026 results. GAAP EPS was $1.18 and adjusted EPS was $1.21, up 22%. Core ROTCE was 11.8% and the net interest margin excluding OID was 3.63%. Consumer auto originations were $13.3 billion from a record 4.6 million applications. The retail auto net charge-off rate fell to 1.57%. Ally bought back $148 million of shares, and its CET1 ratio was 10.1%.
- May 1, 2026Ally issued $1.0 billion of Series D fixed-rate reset preferred stock at 7.1%. It used the money to support the redemption of $1.35 billion of its 4.700% Series B preferred stock in Q2 2026.
- January 21, 2026Ally reported 2025 results. Net income for common shareholders was $742 million, or $2.37 per share, and adjusted EPS was $3.81, up from $2.35 in 2024. The net interest margin rose to 3.43%.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 20, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 20, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · ally-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · ally-20261005
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ally-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · ally-20260506
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · ally-20260331
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylaws and Other company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Most of Ally's loans are auto loans to consumers. Higher unemployment or lower used car prices can raise loan losses. Retail auto loans 30 or more days past due were 4.96% at September 30, 2026.
- Ally's CET1 ratio was 10.2% at September 30, 2026, and its long-term debt ratings were BBB- or Baa3, the lowest investment grade level. Higher losses or new capital rules can limit buybacks and raise funding costs.
- Ally pays high rates to attract online deposits. If competition for deposits rises, or if interest rates move against its loan book, the net interest margin can fall below its 3.60% to 3.65% guidance for 2026.
- Car makers' finance companies and banks compete with Ally for dealer business. Changes in car sales, tariffs on vehicles or dealer relationships can lower loan volumes.
Balance sheet
Ally funds itself mostly with deposits. At September 30, 2026, deposits were $155.8 billion, of which $141.9 billion were retail deposits, 92% FDIC insured. Deposits were 86% of its funding. Total available liquidity was $61.2 billion, 5.2 times its uninsured deposits. At September 30, 2026, total assets were $203.3 billion, short-term borrowings were $6.3 billion and long-term debt was $18.8 billion. Capital is the real limit. At September 30, 2026, the CET1 ratio was 10.2%, with risk-weighted assets of about $158 billion. A $6 billion auto credit risk transfer in Q3 2026 added about 0.25 percentage points of CET1 when it was issued. Total equity was $15.0 billion, including $2.0 billion of preferred stock. Adjusted tangible book value was $41.00 per share. At June 30, 2026, long-term debt ratings were BBB- from Fitch (positive outlook) and S&P and Baa3 from Moody's.
As of
Show 6 sourcesHide sources
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/40729/000004072926000023/ally-20260930.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/0000040729/000119312526425698/d116845dex991.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/0000040729/000119312526425698/d116845dex992.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/40729/000119312526309539/d40046dex991.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/40729/000119312526309539/d40046dex992.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/40729/000004072926000017/ally-20260630.htm
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $38.27)
- Paid per share
- $1.25 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.40 ($0.35 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 51% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 2, 2026, $0.35 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.16 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.40 | |
| 2018 | $0.56 | |
| 2019 | $0.68 | |
| 2020 | $0.76 | |
| 2021 | $0.88 | |
| 2022 | $1.20 | |
| 2023 | $1.20 | |
| 2024 | $1.20 | |
| 2025 | $1.20 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 9.6% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Ally Financial
What does Ally Financial do?
Ally Financial is a US financial holding company with $200 billion in assets and 9.6 million customers at June 30, 2026. Ally Bank is the largest all-digital bank in the United States, and it funds most of the company with retail deposits of $143.6 billion. Its market cap is $11B at the current price of $38.27.
When does Ally Financial report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Ally Financial may report on January 20, 2027. It last reported results on October 20, 2026.
Is Ally Financial stock below its intrinsic value?
Ally Financial stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Ally Financial?
The latest update is from October 20, 2026. Ally reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Ally Financial?
Most of Ally's loans are auto loans to consumers. Ally's CET1 ratio was 10.2% at September 30, 2026, and its long-term debt ratings were BBB- or Baa3, the lowest investment grade level. Ally pays high rates to attract online deposits.
How much debt and cash does Ally Financial have?
Ally funds itself mostly with deposits. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does Ally Financial pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Ally Financial is $1.40 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.7% at the current price of $38.27. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.25 per share (3.3%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 2, 2026.
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