VTR changes
Pick any two versions below to diff them.
- Price
- $85.86 → $84.80(−1.2%)
- Next earnings
- Oct 27, 2026 → Jan 27, 2027
- Next earnings is estimate
- No → Yes
- About
- Ventas is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns about removed: 1,450 added: 1,500 properties in North America and the United Kingdom. removed: More than 900 added: About 1,000 of them are senior housing communities. In its senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP), Ventas owns the communities and receives their operating income, while other companies manage them. It also owns outpatient medical buildings, research centers and other healthcare facilities, which it leases to tenants. Its headquarters are in Chicago. Debra Cafaro is Chairman and CEO.
- Thesis
- The market prices Ventas for the risk that its fast growth in senior housing will slow and that new shares will dilute it. Ventas pays for most of its purchases with new equity. By removed: July 29, added: September 30, 2026, it had settled removed: 31.4 added: 47.3 million shares in 2026 for removed: $2.6 added: $3.9 billion of gross proceeds, and it had removed: $1.6 added: $0.8 billion more of unsettled equity forward sales. It removed: raised its added: closed $5.2 billion of investments in 2026 removed: investment target to $4.5 billion. added: by October 27, 2026. Senior housing results depend on occupancy and rents, which can fall if new supply returns or labor costs rise. In removed: Q2 added: Q3 2026, SHOP same-store cash NOI grew 16%, average occupancy rose removed: 300 added: 290 basis points and revenue per occupied room rose 5%. Net debt to further adjusted EBITDA improved to removed: 4.7 added: 4.4 times from removed: 5.6 added: 5.3 times a year earlier. For the gap to close, three things must be true. SHOP same-store cash NOI must keep double-digit growth into 2027. The removed: $4.5 added: $5.2 billion of 2026 investments must earn the returns that management expects and add to normalized FFO per share. Leverage must stay near removed: 4.7 added: 4.4 times or lower. The Q3 2026 report removed: on October 27, 2026 gives added: passed the first removed: test, and the added: test. The 2027 guidance in early 2027 shows the growth outlook. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is a slowdown in senior housing occupancy gains.
- Risks
- SHOP income depends on occupancy, rents and the costs of the managers that run the communities. New supply, higher labor costs or weak operators can reduce NOI growth quickly. Ventas funds most of its growth with new shares. added: Shares outstanding rose to 528.8 million at September 30, 2026 from 474.9 million at December 31, 2025. If the removed: $4.5 added: $5.2 billion of 2026 investments earn less than expected, the new shares lower FFO per share. Total debt was removed: $12.69 added: $12.44 billion at removed: June added: September 30, 2026. Higher interest rates increase the cost to refinance it and can lower property values. Ventas changed its General Counsel and Chief Accounting Officer in 2026. Changes in key roles can slow work for a time.
- Balance sheet
- Cash: removed: $199M added: $202M Debt: removed: $12.7B added: $12.4B Net debt: removed: $12.5B added: $12.2B Net debt / EBITDA: removed: 4.7× added: 4.4× (high) Ventas funds its business with unsecured notes, mortgage debt, a commercial paper program and new equity. At removed: June added: September 30, 2026, total debt was removed: $12.69 added: $12.44 billion and cash was removed: $199 added: $202 million. removed: Commercial paper was $265 million. Net debt as Ventas defines it, which adds its share of unconsolidated debt and removes partners' share of consolidated debt, was removed: $12.91 billion, and net added: $12.66 billion. Net debt to further adjusted EBITDA was removed: 4.7 added: 4.4 times, down from removed: 5.6 added: 4.7 times added: at June 30, 2026 and 5.3 times a year earlier. added: SHOP income growth and purchases paid with new shares caused the improvement. Liquidity was removed: $4.9 added: $4.5 billion, which includes availability under its unsecured credit facilities, cash and unsettled equity forward sales. Interest expense was removed: $316 added: $478 million in the first removed: six added: nine months of 2026. added: Ventas expects about $648 million of interest expense for all of 2026. As of removed: Jun added: Sep 30, 2026.
- Checkpoints
- Oct 27, 2026: Q3 2026 earnings: SHOP growth. removed: Pending. added: Passed. Watch: SHOP same-store cash NOI growth above 10% and 2026 normalized FFO guidance kept or raised pass; a guidance cut or a large slowdown in occupancy gains fails. removed: Feb added: Outcome: SHOP same-store cash NOI grew 16%, and Ventas raised its 2026 normalized FFO guidance to $3.87 to $3.90 per share. Jan 27, 2027 (estimate): added: Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 guidance. Pending. Watch: added: SHOP same-store cash NOI growth above 10% and 2027 guidance for normalized FFO per share growth with leverage near removed: 4.7 added: 4.4 times or lower removed: passes; added: pass; flat FFO per share or higher leverage fails.
- Recent events
- added: Oct 27, 2026: Ventas reported Q3 2026 results. Normalized FFO per share rose 10% to $0.99. SHOP same-store cash NOI rose 16%, with average occupancy up 290 basis points. Ventas raised its 2026 normalized FFO guidance to $3.87 to $3.90 per share. It closed $5.2 billion of investments in 2026, above its earlier $4.5 billion target. Net debt to further adjusted EBITDA fell to 4.4 times. Sep 15, 2026: Ventas appointed a new Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, who joins from Cushman & Wakefield on or around October 5, 2026. CFO Robert Probst then stops doing the Chief Accounting Officer role on an interim basis. Jul 29, 2026: Ventas reported Q2 2026 results. Normalized FFO per share rose 9% to $0.97. SHOP same-store cash NOI rose 16%, with average occupancy up 300 basis points. Ventas raised its 2026 normalized FFO guidance to $3.85 to $3.90 per share and its 2026 investment target to $4.5 billion. Jun 15, 2026: The General Counsel of Ventas said she will leave on June 26, 2026 to join Blackstone. Kevin Bohl, Deputy General Counsel, took the role on an interim basis.