By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $92.00
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 19 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $46B
- Shares of Dec 31, 2025
- Yield at current rate
- 3.1%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 4.9%
- Last 12 months. Special payment or a cut
- 52-week range
- $73.40 – $129.14
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.74
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.6M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
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In short
- Thesis
- AngloGold Ashanti trades above its intrinsic value because investors pay for its gold cash flow and cash returns, and only lower unit costs, on-time growth projects and steady repurchases can support this price.
- Gap
- Slow. Only several quarters of lower unit costs, on-time Nevada projects and steady cash returns can support the price, and the gold price also moves the result.
Company guidance: 2026 gold production of 2.80 to 3.17 million ounces, reaffirmed, with costs and capital spending within guided ranges (, Q3 2026 earnings release (6-K))
Price history
About
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AngloGold Ashanti) is a gold mining company with its registered office in London and its main executive office in Greenwood Village, Colorado. Its ordinary shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange (AU) and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (ANG). It files Form 20-F and Form 6-K as a foreign private issuer. It runs ten operating assets on three continents: Geita, Obuasi, Iduapriem, Siguiri and Sukari in Africa, the Kibali joint venture in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sunrise Dam and Tropicana in Australia, and Cuiabá and Cerro Vanguardia in the Americas.
In 2025, group gold production was 3,091,000 ounces, adjusted EBITDA was $6,294 million and free cash flow was $2.9 billion. At December 31, 2025, the gold Mineral Reserve was 36.5 million ounces. Its growth projects include Arthur and North Bullfrog in Nevada. Alberto Calderon is Chief Executive Officer.
Thesis
AngloGold Ashanti trades above its intrinsic value because investors pay for the large cash flow that the gold price gives it and for the cash it returns to shareholders, even though it is a miner with rising costs and risks in many countries. All-in sustaining costs rose to $2,170 per ounce in Q3 2026 from $1,720 a year before, and production fell at five of ten assets. A death at Sukari in August 2026, flooding at Iduapriem, a new Guinean rule that requires gold to be refined at home, and a cyber incident in October add doubt about whether it can keep to its plan. It also invests more, with capital spending of $2,000 million to $2,200 million guided for 2027.
For the price to hold, three things must be true. Q4 production must lift the year into the guided 2.80 to 3.17 million ounces, with lower unit costs as Iduapriem, Sukari and Obuasi recover. The growth projects at Geita, Siguiri and Cuiabá ($750 million to $900 million) and North Bullfrog in Nevada must arrive on time and within budget. And free cash flow must keep paying the dividend and the repurchase programme of up to $2.0 billion that shareholders approved in July 2026, while net cash stays at $1.26 billion or more.
The Q4 2026 report in February 2027 with the 2027 outlook, and the North Bullfrog permits, show whether this happens. The gold price also moves the shares, and the company does not control it.
Checkpoints
- Nov 5, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: cash flow and guidanceFree cash flow of $600 million or more, net cash above $1 billion and reaffirmed guidance pass; a cut in guidance fails.Outcome: Free cash flow was $722 million, net cash was $1,256 million and the 2026 guidance was reaffirmed.
- Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarterNorth Bullfrog permits and Guinea refining ruleFederal and state permits for North Bullfrog and a workable Guinea export arrangement pass; a permit delay or an export stop fails.
- Feb 19, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 outlookFull-year production inside 2.80 to 3.17 million ounces with falling unit costs passes; production below the range fails.
- May 2027 · est.PendingQ1 2027 results: costs and repurchasesAISC below $2,000 per ounce and repurchases under the $2.0 billion programme pass; higher costs and no repurchases fail.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026AngloGold Ashanti reported Q3 2026 results. EBITDA rose 12% to $1,568 million, free cash flow was $722 million, net cash was $1,256 million, and production was 696,000 ounces. It declared an interim dividend of 71 US cents per share, or $361 million, and reaffirmed its 2026 guidance. It also reported the death of a colleague in an underground rockfall at the Sukari mine in August 2026.
- November 3, 2026AngloGold Ashanti's board approved funding for the execution phase of the North Bullfrog project in Nevada, subject to federal and state permits.
- October 20, 2026AngloGold Ashanti completed the purchase of certain Lake Carey tenements near Sunrise Dam from Matsa Resources for A$55 million (US$39 million).
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- October 16, 2026AngloGold Ashanti said it found unauthorised activity in some of its systems. It said that its containment measures were successful, an investigation continues, and mining production was not affected.
- October 1, 2026A presidential decree in Guinea took effect that requires all raw gold to be refined in Guinea before export. AngloGold Ashanti, which owns the Siguiri mine there, is in talks with the government about how to apply it.
- September 22, 2026The South African Reserve Bank gave the final regulatory approval for AngloGold Ashanti's share repurchase programme of up to $2.0 billion. Shareholders approved it on July 23, 2026.
- July 31, 2026AngloGold Ashanti reported first-half 2026 results and said that its 2026 guidance for production, costs and capital spending was unchanged, with production weighted to the second half.
- April 14, 2026AngloGold Ashanti Holdings plc, a subsidiary, reported the results of capped cash tender offers of up to $650 million for part of its 3.375% notes due 2028, 3.750% notes due 2030 and 6.500% notes due 2040.
- March 26, 2026AngloGold Ashanti filed its Form 20-F for 2025 and reported a first Mineral Reserve of 4.9 million ounces of gold at the Arthur project in Nevada, with an initial nine-year mine life and average production of about 500,000 ounces a year.
Latest news and filings
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 19, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · au-20260630
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · au-20251231
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2025Filed · au-20250630
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · au-20241231
Risks
- The gold price drives cash flow. At about 3 million ounces a year, each $100 per ounce change in the price moves revenue by about $300 million before royalties and taxes, and royalties rise with the price.
- Operations and safety: there were deaths at Sukari in August 2026 and at Obuasi earlier in 2026. Flooding hit Iduapriem, and production fell year on year in Q3 2026 at Iduapriem (43%), Obuasi (26%), Sukari (21%), Tropicana (15%) and Geita (4%).
- Country risk is high. Guinea now requires raw gold to be refined at home, $163 million of the company's share of cash was awaiting repatriation from the Democratic Republic of the Congo at September 30, 2026, and other mines are in Ghana, Tanzania and Egypt.
- Costs are rising. AISC was $2,170 per ounce in Q3 2026 against $1,720 a year before. Price-linked royalties added $81 per ounce and fuel added $33 per ounce in the first nine months.
- Growth projects need permits and money. North Bullfrog needs federal and state permits, the Arthur feasibility study is not finished, and capital spending is guided to rise to $2,000 million to $2,200 million in 2027.
- A cyber incident in October 2026 is still under investigation. The company said that production was not affected.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $3.1B
- Debt
- $1.8B
- Net cash
- $1.3B
- Credit line
- $1.5B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cash
When the debt is due
AngloGold Ashanti funds itself with cash flow, bonds and bank facilities. At September 30, 2026, total borrowings, with leases, were $1,804 million and cash was $3,060 million, so net cash was $1,256 million after $530 million of dividends paid in Q3. Liquidity was about $4.5 billion. It included an undrawn $1.4 billion multi-currency revolving credit facility and an undrawn $65 million Siguiri facility. The $488 million Geita facility was fully drawn. In April 2026, a subsidiary ran capped cash tender offers of up to $650 million for part of its notes due 2028, 2030 and 2040. In the first nine months of 2026, net cash flow from operating activities was $4,521 million, capital expenditure was $1,579 million and free cash flow was $2,617 million. Dividends declared in the nine months were $1,310 million, or 259 US cents per share. Shareholders approved a repurchase programme of up to $2.0 billion on July 23, 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.1% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 4.9% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $92.00)
- Paid per share
- $4.52 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.88 ($0.72 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 21, 2026, $0.72 per share
Special payment or a cut. The last 12 months paid at least 25% more than the current annual rate. The company may have paid a special dividend, or it may have cut its dividend.
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.099 | |
| 2018 | $0.06 | |
| 2019 | $0.068 | |
| 2020 | $0.11 | |
| 2021 | $0.54 | |
| 2022 | $0.439 | |
| 2023 | $0.214 | |
| 2024 | $0.60 | |
| 2025 | $2.525 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 87.1% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about AngloGold Ashanti
What does AngloGold Ashanti do?
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AngloGold Ashanti) is a gold mining company with its registered office in London and its main executive office in Greenwood Village, Colorado. Its ordinary shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange (AU) and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (ANG). Its market cap is $46B at the current price of $92.00.
When does AngloGold Ashanti report earnings next?
This is an estimate: AngloGold Ashanti may report on February 19, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is AngloGold Ashanti stock below its intrinsic value?
AngloGold Ashanti stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at AngloGold Ashanti?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. AngloGold Ashanti reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for AngloGold Ashanti?
The gold price drives cash flow. Operations and safety: there were deaths at Sukari in August 2026 and at Obuasi earlier in 2026. Country risk is high.
How much debt and cash does AngloGold Ashanti have?
At September 30, 2026, AngloGold Ashanti had $1.8B of debt and $3.1B of cash.
Does AngloGold Ashanti pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of AngloGold Ashanti is $2.88 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.1% at the current price of $92.00. In the last 12 months, it paid $4.52 per share (4.9%). The last 12 months paid at least 25% more than the current annual rate. The company may have paid a special dividend, or it may have cut its dividend. The latest ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.
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