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TPR

Current
Price
$133.34
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Next earnings
Feb 4, 2027
Next earnings is estimate
Yes
Company name
Tapestry
Sector
Luxury handbags and accessories
About
Tapestry, Inc. (Tapestry) is a New York company with two brands, Coach and Kate Spade New York. It sells handbags, small leather goods, accessories and other products through its own stores and websites, wholesale customers and licensing. Net sales were $1,894 million in Q1 of fiscal 2027, which ended on September 26, 2026. Coach had sales of $1,661 million and Kate Spade had $233 million. North America had $1,110 million and Greater China had $385 million. Tapestry sold its Stuart Weitzman business on August 4, 2025. Joanne Crevoiserat is Chief Executive Officer. The fiscal year of Tapestry ends on the Saturday nearest June 30. The common stock trades on the NYSE in US dollars. Tapestry files 10-K and 10-Q reports.
Thesis
The price of Tapestry depends on whether Coach can keep growing quickly while the gains in margin hold against tariffs and a weak Kate Spade. In Q1 of fiscal 2027, pro forma revenue rose 12%, Coach rose 16% and Kate Spade fell 10%. Non-GAAP operating margin was 23.2%, which is 230 basis points more than a year before. Management raised its outlook for fiscal 2027 to earnings per share of $8.25 to $8.35. For the price to hold or rise, four things must be true. Coach must keep its growth, led by Greater China, Europe and handbags with higher prices. Gross margin must keep its gains while the tariff rate stays in the outlook. Kate Spade must stop losing sales or stay small in the total. Tapestry must keep buying back shares, with $1.7 billion planned for fiscal 2027. The Q2 report, expected in early February 2027, and the Q3 report in spring 2027 are the next tests. If Coach growth slows, or if tariffs rise, the price can fall.
Risks
Trade policy can raise costs. Most of the products that Tapestry sells in the US are imported from countries with tariffs. The 10-Q says that the outlook for future trade policy remains uncertain, and the guidance has a low-to-mid-20% tariff rate on US inventory receipts. Kate Spade is shrinking. Its sales fell 10% in Q1 of fiscal 2027 to $233 million, while Coach grew 16%. Growth depends on China. Greater China sales rose 43% to $385 million in Q1 of fiscal 2027, and the region is now a large part of the growth. Consumer demand can weaken. Tapestry sells discretionary products, and its guidance assumes no material worsening of inflation or consumer confidence. The conflict in the Middle East can raise transport and energy costs. Tapestry has no directly operated stores there, and the region was less than 1% of net sales in fiscal 2026.
Balance sheet
Cash: $782M Debt: $2.6B Net debt: $1.8B Debt due within 12 months: $597M At September 26, 2026, Tapestry had cash and cash equivalents of $599 million and short-term investments of $183 million, which is $782 million in all. It had current debt of $597 million and long-term debt of $1,960 million, which is $2,557 million. Net debt was $1,775 million, and the leverage ratio of gross debt to adjusted EBITDA was 1.1 times. Inventory was $1.06 billion. Cash flow from operating activities was $197 million in Q1, and adjusted free cash flow was $56 million. Tapestry now plans to return about $2.0 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2027. As of Sep 26, 2026.
Checkpoints
Feb 4, 2027 (estimate): Q2 fiscal 2027 results. Pending. Watch: Revenue growth of 5% to 6% in constant currency and earnings per share near $3.05, as guided, and this passes; a miss on either fails. May 2027 (estimate): Q3 fiscal 2027 results. Pending. Watch: Coach keeps double-digit growth and the outlook for fiscal 2027 stays at or above $8.25, and this passes; slower Coach growth or a cut to the outlook fails.
Recent events
Nov 5, 2026: Tapestry reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results and raised its outlook. Net sales rose 11% to $1,894 million, and non-GAAP earnings per share rose 32% to $1.82. It repurchased 4.6 million shares for $600 million in the quarter and now plans $1.7 billion of repurchases in fiscal 2027. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.4625 per share, payable on December 21, 2026. Nov 5, 2026: Tapestry said in its Form 10-Q that it collected substantially all of its refund for tariffs paid under the IEEPA, which the Supreme Court found invalid on February 20, 2026. The refund, with interest and related items, added $13 million to operating income in Q1 of fiscal 2027. Aug 13, 2026: Tapestry reported fourth quarter results for fiscal 2026, which ended on June 27, 2026, and filed its Form 10-K. Jul 24, 2026: The temporary 10% global tariff under Section 122 expired. On July 23, 2026, the US government announced new tariffs of 10% to 12.5% under Section 301 on most imports from certain countries, effective when the Section 122 tariffs expired.
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