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SUI changes

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View the full Oct 31, 2026 version
Price
$118.08 → $118.28(+0.2%)
Next earnings
Oct 26, 2026 → Jan 26, 2027
Next earnings is estimate
No → Yes
About
Sun Communities is a real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Southfield, Michigan. It owns and operates manufactured housing (MH) communities and recreational vehicle (RV) communities, most of them in the United States and some in Canada. At removed: June added: September 30, 2026, it had 282 MH properties and 152 RV properties. Residents in MH communities usually own their homes and rent the land under them, and moving a home is costly, so residents stay for a long time. RV communities have annual sites and short-stay transient sites. Sun also sells and leases homes in its communities. It sold its UK holiday park business, Park Holidays, in September 2026 and its marinas business, Safe Harbor, in 2025, so it now focuses on MH and RV communities in North America.
Thesis
The market prices Sun for weak results in its RV business, for the losses and changes of the last two years and for higher interest rates, which lower the value of real estate. In removed: Q2 added: Q3 2026, same property NOI rose removed: 8.8% added: 6.9% in MH but fell removed: 0.7% added: 1.3% in removed: RV. added: RV, and Sun added: lowered its 2026 RV NOI growth guidance to 0.0% to 0.8%. Sun took a non-cash charge of $1.1 billion in Q2 2026 on the sale of its UK business. It also has a new management team: Charles Young became CEO in 2025, and Robert Garechana became CFO on September 8, 2026. For the gap to close, three things must be true. MH same property NOI must keep growing by 6% or more, with occupancy near 98%. RV results must stabilize. Sun must use the $1.03 billion of net proceeds from the UK sale well, for buybacks, debt repayment or good removed: acquisitions, and reach its 2026 Core FFO guidance of $6.94 added: acquisitions. From July 1 to removed: $7.10 per share. The Q3 2026 report on October removed: 26, added: 23, 2026, removed: is the next test. added: Sun bought back $373.1 million of shares. The 2027 guidance in removed: February 2027 added: the Q4 2026 report, expected in early 2027, is the main test. added: Sun already expects average rent increases of 5.4% in MH and 4.4% in annual RV in 2027. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. The main reason it may not close is that interest rates stay high, which keeps REIT values low.
Risks
RV results depend on travel demand and the weather. Same property NOI in RV fell removed: 0.7% added: 1.3% in removed: Q2 added: Q3 2026, and transient demand can stay weak. Higher interest rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value of real estate. Sun had removed: $4.05 added: $3.78 billion of debt at removed: June added: September 30, 2026. State and local rules on rent increases in manufactured housing communities can limit rent growth. Sun has a new CEO since 2025 and a new CFO since September 2026. Changes in strategy or in capital allocation can take time to show results.
Balance sheet
Cash: removed: $165M added: $659M Debt: removed: $4.1B added: $3.8B Net debt: removed: $3.9B added: $3.1B Net debt / EBITDA: removed: 3.9× added: 3.2× (medium) Undrawn credit line: $2.0B, to January 2030 At removed: June added: September 30, 2026, Sun had removed: $4.05 added: $3.78 billion of removed: debt from continuing operations: $2.26 added: debt: $1.99 billion of secured debt, mostly mortgage removed: term loans, and $1.79 billion of senior unsecured notes. The weighted average interest rate was 3.3% and the weighted average maturity was removed: 6.9 added: 7.1 years. removed: Cash, cash equivalents added: Sun had no floating rate debt. Cash and removed: restricted cash added: equivalents were removed: $165.2 added: $658.9 million, removed: of which $150.6 added: or $699.3 million removed: was unrestricted. added: with restricted cash. Nothing was drawn on the removed: $2.0 billion senior credit removed: facility, which matures on added: facility. The 10-Q for Q2 2026 gives its size as $2.0 billion and its maturity as January 31, 2030. Net debt was removed: 3.9 added: $3.13 billion, or 3.2 times trailing twelve-month recurring removed: EBITDA. After the quarter, added: EBITDAre, down from 3.9 times at June 30, 2026. In Q3 2026, Sun removed: repaid two more mortgage term loans of $258.3 million, and in September 2026 it received net proceeds of about $1.03 billion from the UK removed: sale. added: sale, repaid three mortgage term loans of $266.6 million and bought back $293.3 million of shares. As of removed: Jun added: Sep 30, 2026.
Checkpoints
Oct 26, 2026: Q3 2026 earnings: MH growth and RV trends. removed: Pending. added: Failed. Watch: Core FFO per share within the $2.23 to $2.33 guidance and MH same property NOI growth of 6% or more pass; a cut to the 2026 guidance or a larger fall in RV fails. removed: Feb added: Outcome: Core FFO of $2.35 per share beat the guidance and MH same property NOI rose 6.9%, but RV same property NOI fell 1.3%, more than in Q2, and Sun cut its RV NOI guidance. Jan 26, 2027 (estimate): 2026 results and the 2027 guidance. Pending. Watch: A 2027 Core FFO outlook that grows after the UK sale and a clear plan for the proceeds pass; lower guidance fails.
Recent events
Oct added: 26, 2026: Sun reported Q3 2026 results. Core FFO was $2.35 per share, up from $2.28. Same property NOI rose 3.6%, with 6.9% growth in MH and a 1.3% fall in RV. MH and annual RV sites were 98.2% occupied. Sun set 2026 Core FFO guidance of $6.97 to $7.05 per share and lowered its RV NOI growth guidance to 0.0% to 0.8%. It expects average 2027 rent increases of 5.4% in MH and 4.4% in annual RV. In Q3, it bought back 2.4 million shares for $293.3 million and sold three RV properties in Florida for $127.0 million. After the quarter, it bought two MH properties in the Pacific Northwest for $79.5 million. Oct 19, 2026: Sun said that it will report Q3 2026 results after the market closes on October 26, 2026, and hold a conference call on October 27, 2026. Oct 1, 2026: Sun's operating partnership issued 283,126 new Series M preferred units, worth $28.3 million at the $100 issue price, as payment for assets contributed to it. The units pay 3.2% in the first year, rising to 3.6%, and can be exchanged for common shares at $174.00 per share. Sep 22, 2026: Sun completed the sale of Park Holidays, its UK business, to an affiliate of Aermont Capital for about £772.3 million, or about $1.05 billion. Net proceeds were about $1.03 billion. Aug 24, 2026: Sun appointed Robert Garechana, the former CFO of Equity Residential, as CFO from September 8, 2026. Jul 27, 2026: Sun reported Q2 2026 results. Core FFO was $1.84 per share, up from $1.76. Same property NOI rose 6.0%, with 8.8% growth in MH and a 0.7% fall in RV. MH and annual RV sites were 97.9% occupied. Sun recorded a non-cash charge of $1.1 billion to reduce the value of the UK business and set 2026 Core FFO guidance of $6.94 to $7.10 per share. May 27, 2026: The board renewed the stock buyback program for up to $1.0 billion through May 27, 2027. In Q2 2026, Sun bought back about 0.9 million shares for $111.1 million. May 21, 2026: Sun agreed to sell Park Holidays, its UK business, to an affiliate of Aermont Capital at an enterprise value of £768 million.